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Citizenship and Level-Change Threat Effects on Sentencing

DSEID
DSEID-000-4755057
DOI
10.1093/socpro/spae073
Journal
Social Problems
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Published
2026-1-30
Status
metadata_only

Abstract

Abstract Historically, tests of the minority threat theory in criminal punishment have focused on racial/ethnic minority groups, and less on other marginalized groups such as non-citizens. This relative oversight of non-citizens is important because (1) recent decades have been witness to record increases in immigration, and (2) a prominent feature of contemporary American political discourse is the linking of immigrants to crime—in particular, to illegal drugs. In addition, the focus on immigration provides a compelling opportunity to extend minority threat theory by assessing an oft-neglected dimension of the theory—the joint salience of threat level and change. Using a merged dataset of federal drug sentences (2014 to 2019) and publicly available population information, we run a series of multi-level logistic and Poisson regression models to assess whether punishment differs for non-citizen and citizen drug defendants across areas of different foreign-born levels, changes, and level-change combinations. Some statistical, but never substantive, support for minority threat theory exists at incarceration. At sentence length, the preponderance of the evidence suggests that district sensitivity to foreign-born population growth is moderated by the baseline level of the foreign-born populace. Implications for theory and research are discussed.

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Metadata

Title
Citizenship and Level-Change Threat Effects on Sentencing
Delta ID
DSEID-000-4755057
Authors
Bryan Holmes, Daniel Mears
Abstract source
crossref
Source URL
None
Access
closed_or_uncertain
Licence
unknown
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WhenEventFieldOldNew
2026-06-18 19:37:53.011249+00:00identifier_assignedDSEIDDSEID-000-4755057